Speculation was rife earlier this year‚ when Viceroy‚ which spends its time researching companies that it believes have questionable accounting practices‚ announced on social media that it was looking into another South African company.
Companies such as pharmaceuticals business Aspen and property company Resilient were suspected targets.
On Monday‚ Capitec closed nearly 8% weaker‚ suggesting that some in the market suspected the Viceroy report before its Tuesday release.
Capitec “is a South Africa-focused microfinance provider to a majority low-income demographic‚ yet they out-earn all major commercial banks globally including competing high-risk lenders. We don’t buy this story‚” said Viceroy.
This was indicative of “predatory finance”‚ a claim it had corroborated with former customers and employees‚ it said.
“Viceroy’s extensive due diligence and compiled evidence suggests that indicates Capitec must take significant impairments to its loans‚ which will likely result in a net-liability position. We believe Capitec’s concealed problems largely resemble those seen at African Bank Investments prior to its collapse in 2014.”
Capitec had refinanced delinquent loans‚ suggesting its loan book was massively overstated. A write-off of R11bn would more accurately represent the delinquencies and risk in Capitec’s portfolio‚ Viceroy said.
“Reconciliation of loan book values‚ maturity profiles and cash outflows imply Capitec is either fabricating new loans and collections‚ or re-financing R2.5bn–R3bn in principal per year by issuing new loans to defaulting clients.”
An upcoming reckless and predatory lending case‚ which will be heard in March‚ could lead to a class action‚ it said.
“We think that it’s only a matter of time before Capitec’s financials and business unravel‚ with macro headwinds creating an exponential risk of default and bankruptcy.”
This story is unfolding.
Capitec and PSG shares on rollercoaster ride after Viceroy report
In a report released on Tuesday morning‚ Viceroy describes Capitec as a “loan shark with massively understated defaults masquerading as a community finance provider”.
“We believe that the South African Reserve Bank and minister of finance should immediately place Capitec into curatorship‚” it says.
Capitec CEO Gerrie Fourie said: “We have taken note of the Viceroy Report on Capitec Bank. We are currently in the process of investigating the report in detail and will respond appropriately.”
At 10.13am Capitec was off 4.5% to R901‚ rebounding from an earlier 20% fall.
The Capitec stock has fallen more than 16% in January.
PSG‚ which holds a sizable stake in Capitec‚ was off 10.55% at 10.31am.
Momentum Wealth analyst Wayne McCurrie said the report would require careful scrutiny. At this point‚ however‚ regardless of content‚ any negative report on a company from Viceroy would have a negative impact on a company’s share price.
Speculation was rife earlier this year‚ when Viceroy‚ which spends its time researching companies that it believes have questionable accounting practices‚ announced on social media that it was looking into another South African company.
Companies such as pharmaceuticals business Aspen and property company Resilient were suspected targets.
On Monday‚ Capitec closed nearly 8% weaker‚ suggesting that some in the market suspected the Viceroy report before its Tuesday release.
Capitec “is a South Africa-focused microfinance provider to a majority low-income demographic‚ yet they out-earn all major commercial banks globally including competing high-risk lenders. We don’t buy this story‚” said Viceroy.
This was indicative of “predatory finance”‚ a claim it had corroborated with former customers and employees‚ it said.
“Viceroy’s extensive due diligence and compiled evidence suggests that indicates Capitec must take significant impairments to its loans‚ which will likely result in a net-liability position. We believe Capitec’s concealed problems largely resemble those seen at African Bank Investments prior to its collapse in 2014.”
Capitec had refinanced delinquent loans‚ suggesting its loan book was massively overstated. A write-off of R11bn would more accurately represent the delinquencies and risk in Capitec’s portfolio‚ Viceroy said.
“Reconciliation of loan book values‚ maturity profiles and cash outflows imply Capitec is either fabricating new loans and collections‚ or re-financing R2.5bn–R3bn in principal per year by issuing new loans to defaulting clients.”
An upcoming reckless and predatory lending case‚ which will be heard in March‚ could lead to a class action‚ it said.
“We think that it’s only a matter of time before Capitec’s financials and business unravel‚ with macro headwinds creating an exponential risk of default and bankruptcy.”
This story is unfolding.