×

We've got news for you.

Register on SowetanLIVE at no cost to receive newsletters, read exclusive articles & more.
Register now

OPINION: Are you ready for President Maimane and deputy Malema?

Julius Malema and Mmusi Maimane. Picture credit: Trevor Samson
Julius Malema and Mmusi Maimane. Picture credit: Trevor Samson

That South Africa is on the cusp of political change many honest people can see. What most observers refuse to imagine is what our new politics will look like.

Making political predictions is a risky business. But the fear of making wrong predictions is both an act of cowardice and a bluntness of the imagination. Analysts don't want to eat their hats when their predictions turn out to be false. Unlike others, this columnist does not have a chicken heart. He is prepared to tell you what he thinks will happen.

Before the 2016 local government elections, people laughed at this columnist for suggesting the ANC would lose Joburg, Tshwane and Nelson Mandela Bay metros. Is that not what happened?

So, what does the future look like?

The ANC will highly likely sit on opposition benches after the 2019 elections. Many South Africans are very angry about what Jacob Zuma has done to our country. They cannot wait for the elections to teach the ANC a lesson.

In a province like Gauteng, where there is a higher concentration of the middle class, the ANC will be trounced like never before.

If Cyril Ramaphosa were to take over the presidency of the ANC in December, he would be a political shock absorber for the ANC in the province, but the overall performance of the party would still be bad.

The problem is that most people in KwaZulu-Natal would not vote for Ramaphosa, for he would be viewed as an opponent of their local candidate - Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma.

Should Dlamini-Zuma take over the ANC, the people of Gauteng and most of the other provinces would reject her as a stooge of her ex-husband. Under such a scenario, the ANC would be lucky to get 45% of the vote.

Either way, the ANC is doomed. It must also be remembered that the ANC in KZN is seriously divided - there are even allegations of intra-party killings.

So, who will rule after the 2019 elections? Believe it or not, it is very likely to be a coalition government between mainly the DA and the EFF, and one or two smaller parties.

There is no doubt that the DA and the EFF will increase their share of the vote at the expense of the ANC.

Surreal as it may sound, we are most likely to have Mmusi Maimane as president, and Julius Malema as his deputy. This would mark the closure of a long political chapter in SA's history, and would inaugurate a new era.

A week before the 2016 municipal elections, this columnist participated in a public debate with Solly Msimanga and addressed him as Mr Mayor. Everyone in the audience laughed, including Msimanga himself. Did it happen or not?

Once the ANC is out of power, it will never come back. It would be the end of its life. Its senior leaders would resign from politics en masse, and the younger ones would fight over the remains. Look at the ANC in Western Cape. There is no party left there.

It is obvious that both the DA and EFF have better, younger leaders. The future is bright for these parties.

Most of the ANC's young leaders in government have been corrupted beyond repair. Malusi Gigaba is deep in the pockets of the Guptas. Collen Maine is a joke.

What, then, must happen between now and 2019? South Africans must prepare themselves psychologically for big political changes.

Both the DA and the EFF must attract South Africans of formidable credibility and technical competence in order to convince the rest of society that these two parties are ready to govern.

However you look at it, SA is opening a new political page. It is history in the making.

Would you like to comment on this article?
Register (it's quick and free) or sign in now.

Speech Bubbles

Please read our Comment Policy before commenting.